Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.320841 1.622108 2.010657 2.564127 3.360337 4.514050 6.419781
2025-02-23 0.944562 1.279348 1.782145 2.650331 4.262657 7.558771 16.679247
2025-03-02 0.766585 1.105974 1.670770 2.794996 5.379694 12.838110 55.026517
2025-03-09 0.640549 0.963270 1.538983 2.809145 6.273420 20.158874 252.573413
2025-03-16 0.540372 0.834680 1.384338 2.686426 6.721319 28.296630 2739.195673
2025-03-23 0.489637 0.779599 1.350554 2.823921 8.212289 53.520416 NaN
2025-03-30 0.441492 0.718625 1.286113 2.850402 9.419452 98.704417 NaN
2025-04-06 0.396135 0.654634 1.198569 2.770498 10.106236 169.064492 NaN
2025-04-13 0.360343 0.603664 1.128502 2.713565 10.920308 334.289638 NaN
2025-04-20 0.346272 0.593822 1.151273 2.973464 14.518561 3934.064750 NaN
2025-04-27 0.328616 0.573628 1.143948 3.129915 18.165169 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.306757 0.541387 1.098993 3.121380 20.453414 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.282624 0.502027 1.029888 2.991901 21.182527 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.268487 0.483145 1.012585 3.082631 25.905124 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.258188 0.471491 1.012777 3.259251 34.312963 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.244618 0.450719 0.982941 3.276350 40.369848 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.228370 0.422106 0.925495 3.124039 40.860774 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.221161 0.413899 0.927164 3.294629 56.063971 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.211575 0.399030 0.905974 3.327573 68.432363 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.200275 0.379025 0.865777 3.228246 72.822745 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.190494 0.361919 0.832386 3.157636 79.582466 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.188276 0.363048 0.857313 3.481058 145.466847 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.183789 0.358086 0.861557 3.677062 244.470137 NaN NaN